Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.140939 0.164963 0.191392 0.222561 0.258250 0.297773 0.344787
2026-02-08 0.098525 0.130115 0.168696 0.218980 0.282452 0.359543 0.459857
2026-02-15 0.073188 0.106055 0.149515 0.210547 0.293289 0.400697 0.549641
2026-02-22 0.062891 0.098202 0.147945 0.222024 0.328174 0.473162 0.684137
2026-03-01 0.050642 0.084789 0.135801 0.215962 0.336732 0.509382 0.771566
2026-03-08 0.040979 0.073228 0.124094 0.208063 0.340452 0.537617 0.848632
2026-03-15 0.034105 0.064750 0.115573 0.203333 0.347513 0.570269 0.933754
2026-03-22 0.030122 0.060391 0.112892 0.207238 0.367941 0.624296 1.055051
2026-03-29 0.027595 0.058149 0.113348 0.216172 0.397065 0.693945 1.205873
2026-04-05 0.024763 0.054819 0.111340 0.220385 0.418331 0.752215 1.342414
2026-04-12 0.021892 0.050898 0.107646 0.220965 0.433042 0.800370 1.465386
2026-04-19 0.019360 0.047217 0.103857 0.220775 0.446078 0.846286 1.587418
2026-04-26 0.016844 0.043192 0.098945 0.218045 0.454530 0.885546 1.702269
2026-05-03 0.014597 0.039363 0.093911 0.214470 0.461034 0.921901 1.814990
2026-05-10 0.012309 0.034985 0.087041 0.206189 0.457336 0.938950 1.893626
2026-05-17 0.011753 0.034773 0.089303 0.217451 0.493746 1.033796 2.122459
2026-05-24 0.010113 0.031448 0.083985 0.211502 0.494120 1.059467 2.222510
2026-05-31 0.008604 0.028149 0.078212 0.203751 0.489778 1.075306 2.304401
2026-06-07 0.007471 0.025662 0.074031 0.199110 0.491566 1.103286 2.411641
2026-06-14 0.006886 0.024658 0.073446 0.202941 0.512407 1.171508 2.603457
2026-06-21 0.006570 0.024419 0.074820 0.211708 0.545168 1.266680 2.855764
2026-06-28 0.006087 0.023547 0.074372 0.215843 0.567567 1.341448 3.070636
2026-07-05 0.005517 0.022270 0.072618 0.216412 0.581581 1.399121 3.253317